Responses to Syria Send Clear Messages to Iran, North Korea

With so much focus on what is happening in Syria, most of the world is looking at the responses of the United States, Russia, Europe, and Israel. What will be done to the Assad regime? Will the rebels be supported? Will there be more than a war of words between the United States and Russia? Will Israel act alone aggressively or will they wait in a defensive posture against both the regime and the rebels?

On the other side, countries like Iran and North Korea watch closely to see how the world and the US in particular respond to the use of chemical weapons by Assad’s regime on his own people.

President Barack Obama drew a red line and it’s assumed that the Assad regime crossed it. Since then, the enemies of the US and Israel have analyzed the response. The immediate reaction was aggressive in words and meaningless in action. Obama was apparently prepared to strike, then blinked and turned it to congress. Since then, it has been a public relations campaign on both sides of the fence to try to sway the American people into giving the approval sentiment that the Obama administration is seeking.

For their part, the Israeli government seems to be the ones looking at their other enemy in the region, Iran.

“We must make sure that the Syrian regime is stripped of its chemical weapons, and the world must make sure that whoever uses weapons of mass destruction pays a price for it,” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Wednesday. “The message that is received in Syria will be received loudly in Iran.”

North Korea, quiet after being so load a few months ago, is also watching the response very closely.

So far, the reaction from the world has sent a terrible message of indecision to the enemies of the west. We’re attacking, then we’re not. Obama’s in charge, then he isn’t. Europe is on board, then they’re off. Even Russia has waffled a bit from being strong in their support for Assad to being more of a moderator trying to coax a happy resolution.

The overarching message for Syria, Iran, and North Korea is that public opinion can be the real driving force in all of the countries in question. It’s the greatest strength and biggest weakness in times like these. Listening to the sentiment of the population is one of the things that separates the United States and Europe from dictatorships around the world as support for the government’s actions makes them more effective.

However, it also points to the weakness – an uninformed and easily manipulated population can hinder decisive action. Even Russian President Vladimir V. Putin is using American press to push his agenda. On September 11, a day of remembrance in the United States for two terrorist attacks, the New York Times published an article from Putin pleading with the United States to be cautious in their response to Syria.

Whether the United States attacks or not, whether Israel participates, whether Russia intervenes, and whether Europe supports action or sits by, one thing can be drawn from this that the enemies of the west know very well now: indecision and doubt can be seeded in the population and grown to delay at the least and potentially stop action by western powers.

The message is clear. Confuse the people and you have an opportunity to diffuse a situation with time. At this point, whatever action or inaction is taken by the United States, it’s already too late. We can be manipulated and delayed. That much is clear.

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