We Don’t Know Who to Support Yet, but it’s Definitely Not Jeb Bush

The media is already putting Jeb Bush as the most likely GOP presidential candidate for 2016. They’re comparing him to his brother and father, but that’s not really the case. The best two people to compare to Jeb Bush are Mitt Romney and Bob Dole. If Bush is the candidate, he will meet the same results as these two fellow moderates.

The GOP does not need to cater to the middle. They do not need to ride on the coattails of a known entity. If recent history has taught us anything, it’s that the polarizing candidates perform better. It also shows us that a relatively unknown entity like Barack Obama in 2007 can galvanize his party better than someone who is familiar, even if only by name.

We’re not too worried, yet. It’s still very early and we’re hoping that someone will step up and represent the conservative side of the Republican party. That’s the only way to achieve victory. Obama was vulnerable and we put up a weak, moderate candidate. Bill Clinton was vulnerable when he was trying to get re-elected and we did the same thing. On the other side of the fence, George W. Bush was vulnerable and the Democrats put up a career, known entity who was moderate.

If we look at the winners of every presidential election since Carter, we’ll see that the winner from either party was the one who fought on the fringe rather than migrated towards the middle with the only exceptions being the ones who were going up against weaker moderates.

• Carter: Newcomer. Very liberal. Campaigned door-to-door.


• Reagan 1: Bold. Aggressive. Very conservative.


• Reagan 2: Still bold. More aggressive. Conservative but with an uncanny ability to reach across the aisle.


• GHW Bush: Rode on Reagan’s coattails.


• Clinton 1: New. Fresh. Perceived to be very liberal.


• Clinton 2: Not so new. Not very fresh. Less liberal than his base expected. Dole, unfortunately, was completely uninspiring.


• GW Bush 1: Youthful conservative. Perceived to be very conservative.


• GW Bush 2: Not so youthful. Not nearly as conservative as promised. Fortunately, Kerry was weak and the war on terror had people concerned.


• Obama 1: Very new. Very fresh. Very liberal.


• Obama 2: The newness and the freshness didn’t accomplish anything. More liberal than expected. Unfortunately, Romney was not up to the task.

Jeb Bush is not a conservative. He’s not fresh. He’s not riding on popular coattails and the issue of war is something that will not help him. He possesses none of the traits of a presidential winner. Jeb Bush would lose to any Democrat. If he were to somehow win, he would not be a very good president.

It’s hard to be so critical of the early frontrunner before he’s even officially declared, but everyone knows it’s coming. We have to put up a much stronger candidate or we could see the end of the party by 2018.

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